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Nate Silver: The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

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Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.

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Aaron Allston: Star Wars: Starfighters of Ardumar

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Book 9 in the exciting series! The X-wing fighter pilots have earned their reputation as the Rebel Alliance's ultimate strike force by overwhelming enemies with their rapid-fire assaults. But now they are about to embark on a diplomatic mission that will prove to be even more hazardous than all-out combat.... The neutral world of Adumar has decided to pick a side in the war to control the galaxy. Delegates from both the New Republic and the Empire have been invited to Adumar, and each camp will be given a chance to plead its government's case. But there is one small catch: since the Adumari prize military skill above all else, they insist that both delegations be composed exclusively of fighter pilots. For pilot Wedge Antilles and his company, it's an unfamiliar exercise in diplomacy--and one that's filled with unexpected peril. For once they arrive, the X-wing pilots are challenged by Adumar's fierce warriors and attacked by Imperial assassins bent on eliminating all competition. But these challenges pale in comparison to the threat posed by a rogue Republic agent...one who is determined to win Adumar's allegiance once and for all--even if it costs the X-wing pilots their lives.

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Anthony Muhammad: Overcoming the Achievement Gap Trap: Liberating Mindsets to Effective Change

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In Overcoming the Achievement Gap Trap: Liberating Mindsets to Effect Change, author Anthony Muhammad examines the prevailing mindset that perpetuates unequal learning outcomes for some students. He studies how impartiality is missing from struggling students' school experiences, especially for poor and minority students. He draws attention to the need for learning equality and equity to be professional and societal priorities to ensure that factors such as economic standing and race don't play a role in determining students' achievement. Schools have grown too accustomed to the academic achievement gap. Reducing inequality in education means adopting a new, liberating mindset that frees educators and students from negative academic performance expectations.

" "At a Chinese restaurant outside of Philadelphia, a father asks his fifteen-year-old daughter a deceptively simple question: How would you define nothing? With that, the girl who once tried to fail geometry as a conscientious objector starts reading up on general relativity and quantum mechanics, as she and her dad embark on a life-altering quest for the answers to the universe s greatest mysteries." Humbert Humbert - scholar, aesthete and romantic - has fallen completely and utterly in love with Lolita Haze, his landlady's gum-snapping, silky skinned twelve-year-old daughter. Reluctantly agreeing to marry Mrs Haze just to be close to Lolita, Humbert suffers greatly in the pursuit of romance; but when Lo herself starts looking for Overcoming the Achievement Gap Trap: Liberating Mindsets to Effective Change download ebook attention elsewhere, he will carry her off on a desperate cross-country misadventure, all in the name of Love. Hilarious, flamboyant, heart-breaking and full of ingenious word play, Lolita is an immaculate, unforgettable masterpiece of obsession, delusion and lust.

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Deceased Soren Kierkegaard: The Present Age: On the Death of Rebellion

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In his seminal 1846 tract The Present Age, Soren Kierkegaard ("the father of existentialism" New York Times) analyzes the philosophical implications of a society dominated by mass media a society eerily similar to our own. A stunningly prescient essay on the rising influence of advertising, marketing, and publicity, The Present Age is essential reading for anyone who wishes to better understand the modern world."

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Jeremiah Abrams,Connie Zweig: Meeting the Shadow: The Hidden Power of the Dark Side of Human Nature

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The author offers exploration of self and practical guidance dealing with the dark side of personality based on Jung's concept of "shadow," or the forbidden and unacceptable feelings and behaviors each of us experience.

The Emperor is dead, and the remnants of his former Empire are in retreat. As the New Republic fights to restore a lasting peace to the galaxy, some dare to imagine new beginnings and new destinies. For Han Solo, that means settling his last outstanding debt, by helping Chewbacca liberate the Wookiee's homeworld of Kashyyyk. Meanwhile, Norra Wexley and her band of Imperial hunters pursue Grand Admiral Rae Sloane and the Empire's remaining leadership across the galaxy. Even as more and more officers are brought to justice, Sloane continues to elude the New Republic, and Norra fears Sloane may be searching for a Meeting the Shadow: The Hidden Power of the Dark Side of Human Nature download PDF means to save the crumbling Empire from oblivion. But the hunt for Sloane is cut short when Norra receives an urgent request from Princess Leia Organa. The attempt to liberate Kashyyyk has carried Han Solo, Chewbacca, and a band of smugglers into an ambush-resulting in Chewie's capture and Han's disappearance. Breaking away from their official mission and racing toward Kashyyyk, Norra and her crew prepare for any challenge that stands between them and their missing comrades.

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Rebecca Elliott,: Missing Jack

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Toby's cat, Jack, is THE best cat EVER. But Jack is getting old - and Toby will miss his furry best friend terribly when he's gone. Then Toby meets a crazy cat called Humphrey...In this charming and beautifully illustrated picture book Rebecca Elliott addresses the difficult subject of a child's first experience of the death of a pet with warmth, sensitivity and well placed humour. Awards: 2011 JUNIOR MAGAZINE DESIGN AWARDS Most Promising New Talent - SHORTLISTED 2011 NASEN AWARDS (National Association of Special Education Needs) Inclusive Children's Book of the Year - SHORTLISTED 2011 NURSERY WORLD AWARDS Three to Fives New Launch - FINALIST 2010-11 PEOPLE'S BOOK PRIZE Children's Book of the Year - FINALIST 2012 - KATE GREENAWAY MEDAL - LONG LIST 2012 - DOLLY GRAY CHILDREN'S LITERATURE AWARD - WINNER

Brilliantly researched, impassioned, and accessible, "Presence" is filled with stories of individuals who learned how to flourish during the stressful moments that once terrified them. Every reader will learn how to approach their biggest challenges with confidence instead of dread, and to leave them with satisfaction instead of regret. The contributors to this highly original collection of essays explore the relationship between food and architecture, asking what can be learned by examining the (often metaphorical) intersection of the preparation of meals and the production of space. In a culture that includes the Food Channel and the knife-juggling chefs of Benihana, food has become not only an obsession but an alternative art form. The nineteen essays and "Gallery of Recipes" in Eating Architecture seize this moment to investigate how art and architecture engage issues of identity, ideology, conviviality, memory, and loss that cookery evokes. This is a book for all those who opt for the "combination platter" of cultural inquiry as well as for the readers of M. F. K. Fisher and Ruth Reichl. The essays are organized into four sections Missing Jack free epub that lead the reader from the landscape to the kitchen, the table, and finally the mouth. The essays in "Place Settings" examine the relationships between food and location that arise in culinary colonialism and the global economy of tourism.

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Simone Nowell,: Oman - Culture Smart! : The Essential Guide to Customs and Culture

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Culture Smart! Oman offers illuminating insights into the culture and society of Oman. It will help you to turn your visit-whether on business or for pleasure-into a memorable and enriching experience. Culture Smart! provides rare insights, and practical guidance, into cultures. The values, behaviour and customs of peoples have been formed over centuries which is why the unique information in Culture Smart! guides do not date in the same way as ordinary travel guides. Culture Smart! enables you to step into a world untouched by other guidebooks.

"An expert, easy-to-use guide with the facts you need to Ace your next grade!" Capturing the hopes and fears of everyday Berliners, the chilling reach of the Stasi secret police, and the political tensions of the Cold War, The Oman - Culture Smart! : The Essential Guide to Customs and Culture download book Tunnels is breaking history, a propulsive read whose themes still reverberate today. "Take a deep breath before you start any James Dashner book."-"Deseret News"" The classic, bestselling book on the emerging field of DNA activation, CONSCIOUS HEALING, now updated and expanded with a wealth of empowering new information, is far more than the inspiring story of the development of a "revolutionary healing science" (NEXUS). An unparalleled synthesis of modern and ancient healing wisdom, this leading-edge text is essential reading for anyone interested in alternative medicine, energy healing, consciousness research, quantum biology, human evolution, or personal enlightenment. "CONSCIOUS HEALING may be the key that unlocks an entirely new way of being." -ODYSSEY Magazine, Editor's Choice Book

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Nathaniel Hawthorne,John Stephen Martin,: The Scarlet Letter

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Hawthorne's story of the disgraced Hester Prynne (who must wear a scarlet "A" as the mark of her adultery), of her illegitimate child, Pearl, and of the righteous minister Arthur Dimmesdale continues to resonate with modern readers. Set in mid-seventeenth-century Boston, this powerful tale of passion, Puritanism, and revenge is one of the foremost classics of American literature. This Broadview edition contains a selection of historical documents that include Hawthorne's writings on Puritanism, the historical sources of the story, and contemporary reviews of the novel. New to the second edition are an updated critical introduction and bibliography and, in the appendices, additional writings by Margaret Fuller, Elizabeth Cady Stanton, Henry James, and William Dean Howells.

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Robert O Young,Shelley Redford Young,: The pH Miracle : Balance Your Diet, Reclaim Your Health

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Never count calories, fat grams, or food portions again! Say good-bye to low energy, poor digestion, extra pounds, aches and pains, and disease. Say hello to renewed vigor, mental clarity, better overall health, and a lean, trim body. The key? Your health depends on the pH balance of its blood, striking the optimum 80/20 balance between an alkaline and acidic environment provided by eating certain foods. Now an innovative, proven effective diet program can work with your body chemistry and help revitalize and maintain your health. Rediscover the secrets of: * Breakfast, the low-carb, high-fiber meal that will be the biggest change you'll make; * The cleanse--a liquid detox to reduce your body's impurities and normalize digestion and metabolism; *Ridding your body of harmful bacteria, yeast, and molds; *Alkaline foods--tomatoes, avocados, and green vegetables-and how to mix them with mildly acidic foods like fish, grains, and certain fruits to create tempting and delicious meals; *Supplements--how to select, shop, and calculate the right dosage for you; *Water, the all-important drink-how to make sure yours is safe, pure, and plentiful. Learn how to balance your live and diet with the incredible halth benefits of thsi revoulationary program... The pH Miracle.

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Europeana: A Brief History of the Twentieth Century

Elizabeth Knox,: Mortal Fire

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Sixteen-year-old Canny Mochrie's parents go away on a vacation, so they send her off on a trip of her own with her step-brother Sholto and his opinionated girlfriend Susan, who are interviewing the survivors of a strange coal mine disaster and researching local folklore in 1959 Southland, New Zealand. Canny is left to herself to wander in a mysterious and enchanting nearby valley, occupied almost entirely by children who all have the last name Zarene and can perform a special type of magic that tells things how to be stronger and better than they already are. With the help of a seventeen-year-old boy who is held hostage in a hidden away house by a spell that is now more powerful than the people who first placed it, Canny figures out why she, too, can use this special magic that only Zarenes should know, and where she really came from. Printz Honor author Elizabeth Knox has created another stunning world of intrigue in Mortal Fire.

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